Monday, May 30, 2016

My race recap and analysis from the 2016 Monaco Grand Prix

The Races in Monaco are wrongfully known as races lacking overtakes and action, because of the narrowness and characteristics of the circuit, and I say 'wrongfully' because, in the last few years, Montecarlo has provided thrilling, dramatic races.

As an example, you have the way in which Lewis Hamilton lost the victory due to a mistake from the team in 2015 and the numerous battles and overtakes in the midfield and late drama in 2014.

This race in 2016, has not broken the rule...



The start was a calm affair, as the rain that had fallen hours before had left the track wet and thus forced the race to start under the safety car, to ensure that no accidents happened, because at that moment the spray caused by the standing water in the track impaired the visibility of the drivers.
A lot of people criticized the decision of starting under the safety car, for not letting the drivers fight it out in the rain, but being honest, this was a good choice from race direction, a first corner under such conditions would've been a catastrophe.



So the race had to flow that way until lap 8, when the safety car came in, after race direction considered that there was enough distance between each car for the spray not to be a difficulty for the drivers, which was their main objective in starting with the safety car.

Right at the restart, Jolyon Palmer lost control of the front and crashed out at Sainte Devote, causing a Virtual Safety Car, which would stay until lap 10.






But that wouldn't be the only incident in this stage of the race, as only two laps later, Kimi Räikkönen understeered at the Hairpin and hit the wall lightly, damaging his front and blocking Felipe Massa's way.
The Finn was able to continue racing, unintentionally closing the door at Grosjean's face in the next corner, even with his front wing under his car, dragging the wing across the track, leaving a bunch of debris and finally pulling out of the track at the chicane, having realized that trying to get the car to the pits would cause a risk for the other drivers due to the debris.

A costly mistake for Kimi when he was trying to make a recovery from a 5-place grid penalty that he had received for a gearbox change.




Now, one would think that the fact that the drivers had to be separated from each other that eventually led to Ricciardo gaining a lead of more than ten seconds would mean that this race would turn into one of those 'overtake-less' parades that are usually related with this street circuit, and honestly that's the course followed by the race in the first part of it, with very almost no drivers daring to make any moves on these conditions and few overtakes, with the exception of Mercedes' team order which pushed Lewis Hamilton ahead of Nico Rosberg, a move which I'll talk about later on.



However, as the track started to dry and the times started to get lower, the thrills and actions started, only a preview of what was to come. Several drivers, like Ricciardo, Perez and Vettel decided to switch to intermediate tyres, given that the track was still wet but not as in the start. Only Wehrlein, Kvyät and Hamilton decided to stay out in full wets.

As the track continued to dry, around late 20s and early 30s laps, drivers started to come in and switch for slicks, which is where strategies started variating, majority of the drivers opting for either super or ultra softs and with Sergio Perez and Sebastian Vettel being the most notable exceptions, fitting sets of soft tyres, most likely planning to take them to the end of the race.

Meanwhile at the front, since Hamilton stayed out while almost everyone else made the switch to inters, he managed to get ahead of Daniel Ricciardo, whose fresh intermediates helped him move across the track in a quicker and smoother way than Hamilton, started hunting down Hamilton, rapidly eating up the Briton's lead, while Hamilton was still in full wets, skillfully driving around the small dry patches that the track had.

Lewis finally decided to pit on lap 32, along with teammate Rosberg, both of them fitting ultra softs, the only difference being that Rosberg's were used.

On the very next lap, Ricciardo made his own  switch to slicks, choosing a set of used super softs. It was a normal stop until the disaster broke loose, the pit crew had forgotten to take out the set of tyres that were to be fitted, because they weren't fully ready to receive him, thus causing a sizable delay on the Australian's pit stop and ruining his opportunity of undercutting Hamilton after his quick in lap. However, his harder compound could provide him with more opportunities to be quicker later on in the race, so despite the low overtaking chances, the race was not over yet.

The Aussie driver who had just claimed his maiden Formula 1 pole on Saturday, was forced to spend the rest of the race hunting down race leader Hamilton, with fastest laps shifting between them; Hamilton set a record, Ricciardo followed, Ricciardo set it, Hamilton beat it.



The rest of the action happened right behind the two, as Rosberg endured his worst race this year, or at least the worst race in which he's driven more than one lap.

Alonso and Perez had undercut him while they switched to slicks and Vettel beat him in the pit lane, a consequence of Mercedes' double stop, putting the championship leader all the way back in sixth place.
Now him, like Ricciardo, would have to hunt down the man behind him to reduce the damage received in the race, being in the middle of a group of three drivers, with Alonso in P5, Nico in sixth and Nico Hulkenberg in P7, while Checo Perez had a safe 3.5 seconds lead over Vettel in third, with a shot at claiming his first podium of the year and the sixth in his career.

Around this point in the race, is where some people in the paddock, most notable McLaren strategists, talked about the possibility of rain a few minutes before the end of the race, which mean that the race for the win could still be wide open.

Back at the front, Ricciardo kept on fighting to regain the lead that he had unfairly lost, staying less than a second away from Hamilton, sometimes cutting the lead to half a second, 0.4 or 0.6 seconds.
His biggest chance at taking control of the race came on lap 36, when he had a go at the inside of Lewis in the chicane, consequently Lewis went wide, which Daniel took advantage of to put his car right next to Lewis' in the exit of the chicane, he tried on the outside but Hamilton was quick to aggressively close that small gap, a move that was deemed by many as punishable. I'll give you an analysis of my own later on.

This maneuver proved to be an important point in the race, just as Ricciardo pit stop woes, pivotal in the development of the result.

Daniel didn't put his hands down, he kept on pushing as hard as he could. He responded with quick lap times to each of Hamilton's fast laps, he cut his gap in a few sectors and laps and was most of the time right on the Merc driver's rear.

Even two Virtual Safety Cars (caused by the Saubers and debris), helped his cause in not allowing Hamilton to build a gap.

Ricciardo still had the strategy on his side, as his harder tyres would give him a better speed than that of Hamilton's in the last laps.

There was also the threat of rain, but in the end the rain did not appear until 4 laps before the end, and it was just a light drizzle.

In the end, Ricciardo lacked the pace to catch Hamilton in the race and had to conform with second. 

No words can describe the disappointment in his face after the race, a win that he had almost guaranteed from the start, lost due to no mistake of his own, and a very stupid one.
One cannot even imagine the things going through his mind. Him and many of us know that he did everything he could to cover the team's terrible error.






However, this race and the pace shown in qualifying is only a sign that the team is quickly improving and is a serious contender for victories in the races remaining in the calendar.

Interesting to remember, Hamilton lost the race here last year in a similar fashion, leading for a big part of it and losing it in the pits.


Behind Daniel, it is a whole different thing. Sergio Perez is noticeably happy with the result, as he managed to hold off Vettel to check a podium in Monaco in his to do list, getting his sixth overall podium and third top three finish with the team. 





Starting from eighth, the Mexican did an excellent job along with his team, who laid out an effective strategy for him, which allowed him to undercut some of the drivers ahead of him. 

Besides, keeping behind a four-time world champion in a demanding track such as this one is one heck of an achievement, rightfully earned today by Perez.

Now, on to the winning driver...



Lewis Hamilton has struck the jackpot in this race.

He came into it with almost no chances of winning, starting in third on rainy conditions in a narrow track like this, and came out on top.

Not only that but this win has served as Lewis' breaking of a winless streak of eight races and has re-opened his championship chances that were up until the end of last race pretty limited, with his teammate and championship rival Nico Rosberg losing another position in the race to finish 7th, earning only 4 points, hence leaving the point difference in the championship between the two at only 24 points, less than one race's maximum gain with 15 races to go.
What a way for the Brit to shift the momentum on his side, however it is very possible that Nico will do whatever he can to regain it as soon as he can.

Still, today's disappointing result is a big blow for the German as he loses vital championship points to his teammate in a track where he is used to win.

Hamilton has said that he does not feel a sense of luck revolving around this race, because he earned it himself.

I beg to differ for a few reasons.

1. His path towards second place and only a part of it towards the eventual lead was carved out with a team order. As Nico Rosberg struggled with the weather, brakes and tyres, and was not going to be able to catch Ricciardo, the team took the decision to have Rosberg pull over to the side to let Lewis pass, as he had more chances of reaching the leader.

I'm not criticizing their decision, it's completely legal and valid.

I'm not implying that the team tried to purposely help Lewis in beating Rosberg, no, it is completely understandable that they would want his quicker of the duo to have a better shot at winning, it is a known fact that teams are more interested in the constructors championship rather than the drivers'.

The only thing I'm saying is that the team's actions inflicted in Lewis' quick rise to second place.

2. The move on Ricciardo. 
Contrary to what many other think and say, the maneuver he put on Ricciardo on lap 36 was a legal one, because as Ricciardo's front wing had not yet crossed the middle of Lewis's car, Hamilton still had the right to close the gap available without being hit with penalties for reckless driving or aggressive/irresponsible driving.
That is the basis they have followed in similar cases.

For example, three years ago in this very same circuit, Sergio Perez attempted a late overtake on Kimi Räikkönen in the chicane and the Finn, following his racing line, closed the door on Perez, causing damage to both cars, and came out without a penalty as Perez's front wing was not past the middle of Kimi's car. Still, Räikkönen was not to blame for the overly optimistic overtake Sergio tried at the time.

3. Red Bull's terrible mistake in the pits. Last and most importantly, the best proof that a big part of this victory for Lewis was a product of external factors rather than his own talent/speed/pace/you name it.

Hamilton took the lead of the race thanks to his unconventional strategy, not stopping until lap 32, but was destined to fall behind Ricciardo, in the hypothetical situation in which the Aussie's fast in-lap and the team's effective pit stop helped him to undercut Lewis and regain the lead, forcing the current world champion to spend the rest of the race behind the car ahead (just as Ricciardo was forced to do), and this time, without anyone to tell the driver ahead to let him through. A guaranteed win for Daniel.

However in reality, shit happens and what happened in that pit stop, we already know.
A team which is one of the best in pit stops and very rarely commits mistakes in them, even the slightest ones, commits the most unusual one, the most down right stupid one.
How can a team have a driver who is leading the race come into the pits and just casually forget about bringing the newer tyres out, with the team's first win in almost two years at stake?

No words can describe how stunned many fans are because of this mistake.

Without considering this mistake, Ricciardo closes a positive weekend for the team, claiming his first pole position and sealing Red Bull's second consecutive podium finish.
Max Verstappen continued to show his speed on the car by recovering from 21st all the way into point scoring positions, but his weekend was plagued with crashes and the race was not an exception, as the Dutchman crashed out of the race on lap 35 whilst driving in a point scoring position, a result which would've meant another good haul of points for the team.
On fourth place, only less than two seconds behind Perez, is Sebastian Vettel.
The German started in that same position but lost a few spots in the start and during the pit stops, spots which he would recover in the next pit stop, the notorious gain being when he got past Rosberg in the pits.
Vettel could've aimed at more but it was different from him to be able to put on a move on Perez.

As I have mentioned, Kimi Räikkönen's attempt at recovering the positions he lost with a poor qualifying and with the grid penalty was cut short on lap 12, as he locked the rear and went straight onto the barrier in the Hairpin. Best position he could've aspired to in this type of race could've been 7th but still, it's a lot better.

This result confirms that Ferrari is having a tougher season than they and many of us expected as they still haven't been able to beat the Mercedes to the win as they did last year. This is far from the promising season that we thought they had ahead of themselves at the winter, with possibilities of even challenging the reigning champions for the constructors title.
But then again, there's still plenty of racing to go.




Putting together Sergio Perez's podium and Nico Hulkenberg's late overtake on Rosberg to finish sixth, Force India has squeezed a total of 23 points out of this Grand Prix, their best haul of points since the 2014 Bahrain a Grand Prix, where Sergio Perez also finished in third place.

This is a great result for the team, a good harvest of points to keep on progressing through the season. 
Crazy how this team only got its first points finish of 2016 two races ago in Russia.




The surprise man of the day was Fernando Alonso. With Fernando in P10 (P9 due to Räikkönen's penalty) and Button in P13, both McLarens were impressive, according to their possibilities, in qualifying.
On race, Fernando made a good job in undercutting drivers ahead of him and Jenson benefitted from Daniil Kvyät's and Räikkönen's retirements, and brought their cars home in P5 and P9, respectively.

I'm not completely sure on this one but I believe this is the best haul of points for the team since the Hungarian GP last year.

Just inside the top 10, Felipe Massa came up as Williams' top driver, just ahead of teammate Bottas in eleventh.
The results of the qualifying for them (14th and 11th) meant that they could only aspire to fight for the points and first point scoring positions.
With this, Williams disappointing season continues. They began the year with the goal of giving Ferrari a run for their money for the runner up spot, but they have not been able to stand in the podium in any race and have been far away from matching what a underperforming 'Scuderia' has done so far.

A victim of Perez's great start, Carlos Sainz lost one position from his starting spot of seventh, eventually finishing in eighth.
A good result for him, that could've been better had it been combined with a point scoring finish from Kvyät, who was forced to retire after a very aggressive attempt at overtaking Kevin Magnussen.



For Renault and Sauber it was an accident packed race. As it was mentioned above, Palmer was the first retiree of the race after hitting the wall in lap 10, however his teammate also suffered a couple of other collisions, one of them being with Kvyät and the last one being the one that ultimately left him out of the race. 
On the other side, Sauber had a mess out there on the track. They gave out team orders to Felipe Nasr, telling him to let teammate Marcus Ericsson through, as the Brazilian did not follow them, Ericsson asked the team for permission to attack him, which was granted. However Ericsson chose the wrong place to make his move, as he tried to get on the inside of Nasr at La Rascasse, a maneuver which left Nasr in the wall and caused some damage on Ericsson's car, prompting him to retire later on.
This is exactly the opposite of what the team needs on race day, given their economical situation.

That's it for this race's recap and review! I hope you have enjoyed it.
Don't forget to share this blog, +1 this post, recommend, comment and also I strongly advise you to add me to your Google+ and turn on my notifications or to become a follower of this blog, so that you can receive my new posts as soon as I post them! 

Thanks a lot for the reads and support and I'll see you all in two weeks, for the Canadian Grand Prix!

Sunday, May 15, 2016

2016 Spanish Grand Prix Race Recap & Review

Lewis Hamilton's lack of luck in the start of this 2016 season, combined with Nico Rosberg's brilliant start to year is what has led the championship standings to look the way they do, with Rosberg almost 50 points ahead in the lead.
While Hamilton has tried to put a halt to Rosberg's dominance, in the last few races, luck just has not been on his side, having been struck with engine failures and grid penalties.

However, Saturday evening in Barcelona left finally a good result for Lewis, as he positioned his W07 ahead of his teammate Rosberg's, on pole position. A very sizable chance for him to not only stop Nico's run of 7 consecutive wins, but to shift the momentum onto his side. 

He has held the advantage in starting position over his teammate on some races this year, but Rosberg has just done enough to either overtake him in the first corner o to beat him to it in all of those times, but this time, Hamilton knows his time is running out, clock is slowly ticking and he needs a master strike to keep his championship chances as a realistic possibility. We shall expect him not  to hand the lead to his teammate as easy this time.

It's difficult to figure out what happens to Lewis on the starts, assuming he's to blame for this. He's not known to be a bad starter as Webber was.
Maybe it is the enormous pressure on him that builds up throughout the weekend up to the lights out, or is it more likely that he's indeed doing everything possible to succeed but cannot do enough to hold off Rosberg?

This time, I think it's the second one the reason to put behind Hamilton's defeat at the start, as Rosberg positioned himself right behind Hamilton in the first few meters, allowing him to take the inside of turn one, then made a fantastic move on the outside of the corner, thus enabling him to easily get the inside of turn two to get the lead of the race.




Still, Hamilton did not put his hands down, he stayed behind only a few meters away from the German, waiting for the right moment to regain the lead, but it's clear to many of us that the Briton really misjudged when was that moment.

In a desperate attempt at getting the lead back, he tried to get on the inside of turn four, rightfully so, Rosberg closed the small gap that existed between him and the grass to take the inside of the corner, as he was coming behind way too fast, Hamilton was forced to make an emergency maneuver that left him on the outside of the track, eventually losing control of the car, spinning out across the track and ending the incident in a spectacular fashion by hitting the back of Rosberg's car, knocking him onto the gravel, both cars completely wrecked.

A disaster for Mercedes, not only did Hamilton obliterated his potential chances at beating Rosberg, but he ended up ruining an almost assured 1-2 finish for the team.

Now, one could think that Rosberg himself was to blame at least a little bit. Yes but, Lewis is wrong from the moment where he attempts that excessively overtake at the speed at which he was going. I think the contact was inevitable once Hamilton takes the decision to put his car on the right of Rosberg's, even if Nico hadn't closed the gap and had allowed him to get through, the cars would've met at some point, due to the speed Hamilton was carrying into that corner.

Both Mercedes drivers were called in for a meeting with the directors of the team, to discuss their versions of the incident and their explanations for the accident that ended a promising weekend for the team.

Prior to the meeting, Niki Lauda was very clear in his statement, saying that Rosberg was leading and had no obligation of leaving a gap to Hamilton, who miscalculated his move and was too aggressive. He also stated that it was an unnecessary and unacceptable situation.

We are yet to see which will be the impact of this clash in the course of the fight for the championship. It's necessary to remember how the 2014 Belgian GP crash between both Nico and Lewis marked a before and after in the season.
The emotional impact of losing the streak of wins could have a negative impact on Nico, but it might as well have a positive one and push him to go for the win next race, which he most likely will do, the next race being in Monaco, where he's already won three times in a row.



Back to race, the incident left a leading pack of Red Bulls, with Ricciardo at first, followed by Max Verstappen and Carlos Sainz.

Meanwhile, the Ferraris were nowhere to be seen after the start, Sebastian Vettel made up a few places from his starting position of sixth and teammate Kimi Räikkönen having not dropped nor gained any positions, except from the one lost to Vettel, whom he followed closely in the first few laps.
After the shock and confusion of the first lap chaos, the red cars were quick to settle down right behind the rear wing of Sainz, only a few tenths behind, with Vettel commanding the persecution of the Toro Rosso driver.

Despite a great start from tenth place, the Spaniard though proved to be an easy affair for the 'Scuderia' as it only took them a couple laps to get past him and leave him behind, to start concentrating on cutting the gap to their next target, Verstappen. With that, the leading pack and eventual top four at the end was settled from an early point in the race, just in which order they would finish was what we were expecting to find out.


The Bulls were in control of the race for the bigger amount of time, with Ricciardo having a decent advantage over Verstappen, who had some 3 seconds of gap from the Ferraris.



This situation would only change with the first pit stops, where the leading pair entered the boxes first, leaving Vettel on the lead for a brief time, when the German himself pitted, with Räikkönen inheriting the lead until his stop.

Vettel and his crew's attempts at undercutting Verstappen were unsuccessful in the first two pit stops and Räikkönen was following a different strategy, sitting behind his teammate, hence, the leading pack stayed in its original order, but with few distance between themselves, a wide open contest for the win that any of the four could take.

Personally, at this point, a few laps past the halfway mark of the race, I had a feeling Kimi Räikkönen could pose a serious threat to the leaders, because of the course the race was taking and because of the way in which Räikkönen has been able to put on staggering paces in the closing stages of the race in the last few races.

However, this race was opposed to this, him and Verstappen were on a two stop strategy, meaning that their switch to medium tyres on lap 36 was their last stop, whilst Vettel and Ricciardo were on a three stop, which is why Ricciardo pitted on lap 44 and why Vettel switched from his set of softs to mediums so quickly.

Now that I think, Ricciardo's strategy could've been successful if he had fitted softs in his final stint, instead of mediums. Yes, putting on softs with 22 laps to go might've been a risky move, but as comprised as the pack was in the race, the softs would've given him the edge to be able to push to take the lead and maybe even to build a small gap which could've probably kept him safe from the others once the tyres' performance stared to decay.

Regardless of the disadvantage in which the different strategy left them, Ricciardo and Vettel still had some chances of catching the leading pair, as they were only five seconds behind, with little less than 20 laps to go, however, when they started racing each other, they lost a few tenths and with those tenths went the possibility of catching up.

In their final stop, Vettel was final able to make his undercut stick to come out of pots ahead of Ricciardo to take the final podium spot.
Eventually, the undercut would be irrelevant to the result, as Daniel suffered a puncture late in the race and was forced to put from fourth place. Still, his gap to Bottas in fifth was safe enough to come out still in P4.

With this, the race was left to be decided between leader Max Verstappen and Kimi Räikkönen, who was less than a second behind Verstappen with ten laps to go, chasing his first win in more than three years.

Still not clear why, but Räikkönen was unable to catch Verstappen. 
I think it was a set of factors that inflicted in the result:
1. At a track where it's difficult to overtake, Räikkönen did not want to cause another incident like the one he caused in Russia last year. This time, the consequences a risky move like that could've brought were much bigger since we are talking about a race win.
2. By the time Räikkönen had gotten into DRS range of Max, he had worn up his tyres more than Max had, so this made him lose the small bit of speed that he needed to have in order to get through.
3. Kimi's times in the last sector were slower than Max's and with the way the last corner flows into the long home straight, Max could easily get a better exit from the corner and could get into the gas quicker, making it harder for Kimi to catch him even with the DRS.

Also, I think that if Räikkönen had pitted together with Ricciardo around lap 44 to switch to mediums, that could've set the table for another of his late charges which could've possible ended with him taking home the 25 points.

In the end, I think it is useless to try to find reasons to why Räikkönen failed in catching him, instead of praising Max's excellent performance and impressive effort holding back no less than a former world champion. He deserves all of the credit for the win, showing a consistent pace throughout the whole race and handling well the pressured of running with the leading pack for the first time in his career.

We witnessed today a dramatic, historical, action packed race. You don't see a 4-way fight for the race too often.
I think we saw the birth of a star, the first glimpse of talent of a potential future champion.

During the week, the Kvyät-Verstappen team switch was highly discussed and Helmut Marko was criticized for it, for cutting short the career and chances of talented youngster as Kvyät and for the backstabbing that had gone down, but now seeing the result I can say that Mr. Marko has nailed it with this gamble that he took.

Most likely, Max will proceed to keep on developing his skill throughout the year in a faster car than Toro Rosso's and if Red Bull can provide him with a good car next year, the combination between both parts can result in the path to success for the team.
But at what cost? Ruining the career of another promising kid?
Well, the only thing I can say as of now is: 'To make an omelette, you have to break a few eggs.'

Verstappen not only nailed his first podium and win, but he made history as he became the youngest ever winner in the history of F1, breaking the record set by Sebastian Vettel back in the Italian GP.










Ferrari took good advantage from Mercedes catastrophe, as they wrapped up a double podium finish, cutting Mercedes' gap in the constructors championship to 47 points.

Meanwhile, Verstappen's win helped Red Bull settle down in third place on the standings.


Now, we move on to other headlines further down the paddock...

With a decent qualifying result of ninth and a finishing position of seventh that followed it, Sergio Perez has commanded Force India's second consecutive points finish of the season. Once again, the team commanded by Vijay Malya was forced to have only one of its two cars across the finish line, as Hulkenberg suffered his second consecutive retirement, with his engine catching fire around lap 24.
The Mexican completed a normal, discrete race without being involved in the battle for position and being benefited from Mercedes' clash to gain two positions for a good harvest of points to keep the progress of the team going.




Right ahead of Perez was Carlos Sainz, who managed to give a good result to his home crowd with a sixth place after qualifying in tenth. That was just a half of the result that had Toro Rosso putting their both cars on the points, with Daniil Kvyät barely making the top ten after losing the position to Esteban Gutierrez, but the 'Toro Russian' would eventually regain the position late in the race.
One smart move from him to finish in the points, was that right after he got lapped by Vettel and Ricciardo, he had enough pace to be able to follow them through a good amount of laps, managing to get a row on the straights, helping him to catch the group ahead.

In between Ricciardo and Sainz was Valtteri Bottas in P5, a bittersweet race for the Finn. The sweet side comes from the top five finish, however the bitter one comes from the realization that the only two positions gained came as a product of a first lap crash.
On the other side of the Williams garage, things were diametrically opposite, as Felipe Massa sealed a 10-place recovery after starting in eighteenth place, wrapping up a good double point finish for the team.

Last but not least, Haas' good pace throughout the race is worth mentioning. It is really a shame that Grosjean was forced to retire from a point scoring position and that Gutierrez was unable to keep tenth place.




That's it for this Spanish GP's review! Hope you enjoyed it!

See you all in two weeks time when F1 hits the streets of Monaco!